Insights

Why We Need Gold

"Most investors do not realize that gold is one of the world’s most liquid currencies and assets, trading with volumes equivalent to those of the euro or U.S. Treasury bond benchmarks. Although similar in philosophy, gold blows Bitcoin away on any measure by which the two can be compared....Perhaps now is finally the time for investors to benefit from a 'life preserver' while others enjoy the card game on the decks of the central bank-piloted Titanic."

Insights from 2019 and 2018

How Billionaires Prepare for Bear Markets

Many investors turn to gold to hedge against the prospect of a bear market ― a prolonged downturn which sees stock prices fall by at least 20% over two months or more. Gold is considered the undisputed king of uncorrelated assets, and is a proven, safe haven investment that lets investors sleep at night.

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I've Never Seen These Kinds of Valuations

Tocqueville and Sprott Asset Management smell opportunity in a woebegone asset: gold.

Institutional Investor's Julie Segal interviews John Hathaway, Tocqueville Asset Management, and Whitney George, Chief Investment Officer of Sprott Asset Management. 

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We're Betting Against the Street On Gold

Peter Grosskopf, CEO of Sprott, was a keynote speaker at the recent May 1-2 Mines and Money New York Conference. He joins KITCO News' Daniela Cambone to discuss the macroeconomic forces providing tailwinds for gold.

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The Silver Lining

Silver has faced a challenging investment environment, and over the past three years, the metal has underperformed gold. But with silver's price hovering at $15 per ounce, we see tremendous investment upside — with little downside — given what we view as very positive developments in the market.

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Real Assets Masterclass

Ed Coyne, EVP National Sales, joins Juan Carlos Artigas of the World Gold Council, and two other experts, to discuss real assets like gold. Coyne on gold: "Most investors are surprised to learn that over the past two decades, gold has actually outperformed the S&P 500."

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Technical Resolution

On the surface, precious metals activity was subdued for the week ending Friday, April 26. Spot gold rose 0.85% to $1,290.35 and continues to hover just below the $1,300 threshold, with trading reflecting a technical tone.

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Miners Ride a New Wave of Consolidation

We believe a new gold mining mergers and acquisitions (M&A) cycle has been ignited, and we expect this merger boom to accelerate over the next several years. Exploration is down, and new gold discoveries are scarce. Miners are strategically combining in order to increase production, reduce costs and improve operations. 

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Recalculating

As the gold price has oscillated around the high-profile $1,300 level throughout 2019, it has become increasingly apparent that strong demand from Eastern (physical) markets below $1,300 is roughly offsetting a lack of urgency in Western (paper) markets above that price point.

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Gold Has Been Rallying. Now It’s Silver’s Turn.

Silver has been a lackluster performer this year, but as investors’ appetite for gold improves, silver might share in the yellow metal’s prosperity. Barron's checks in with Sprott's Maria Smirnova to find out more.

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World Silver Survey 2019

According to the World Silver Survey 2019, the silver market looks “promising” in 2019 as the supply and demand picture is expected to remain relatively stable, with demand hitting a three-year high in 2018.


Sprott Physical Silver Trust (NYSE ARCA: PSLV) is a proud sponsor of the 2019 World Silver Survey.

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Paper Tiger

After much late-March huffing and puffing in COMEX markets to achieve a month-end close for spot gold below $1,300, trading in physical gold markets proved especially robust during the first week of April.  To us, this suggests gold’s sub-$1,300 spot price is destined to be short lived.

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What You're Not Hearing about Cain, Moore and the Gold Standard

If Alan Greenspan and Stanley Fischer can talk about gold as a policy tool, why can't Trump's nominees?....There is nothing wrong with talking about gold. We should follow it more closely not less.

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On the Clock

Trading in gold markets during the week of 3/25/19 seemed heavily influenced by calendar-related items. 

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Jay Powell's Response to the Inverted Yield Curve?

President Trump and White House advisor Larry Kudlow are baiting Chairman Powell to cut interest rates — but Powell himself said last year that he would listen to an inverted yield curve. Don Luskin breaks down the recent changes to the 10-year yield curve and suggests a way for Powell to independently react.

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Busy Week

This past week witnessed an unusually rich sequence of gold supportive events.  Indeed, four successive developments came so fast and furious that we expect strong performance in the gold complex in coming weeks as investors have a bit more time to process the significance of recent news flow. 

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Gold Shares as Rising Phoenix

We believe that gold equities are poised for a span of significant nominal and relative performance. A new wave of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) is likely to provide a strong catalyst for gold miners in 2019.

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Silver News Interviews CEO John Ciampaglia

CEO John Ciampaglia with Silver News: "We see interest in silver rebounding....and we are bullish about silver going forward. When gold starts to move, it’s not uncharacteristic for silver to move faster at a multiple of two times or more." 

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TrendMacro's 2020 Election Model

TrendMacro's proprietary quantitative presidential election model predicts that Trump will be re-elected by a margin of 294 electoral college votes, assuming economic conditions are the same in November 2020 as they are today. (TrendMacro is apolitical and non-partisan.)

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Sprott CEO Sees "Billionaires and Family Offices" Buying Gold

Peter Grosskopf, Sprott CEO, joins BNN Bloomberg and shares his insights on growing interest and investment in gold bullion. Grosskopf opines on the state of the precious metals industry and why he believes dynamics support more M&A activity. 

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Barrick-Newmont Deal Would be a "Merger of Equals"

Shree Kargutkar, Portfolio Manager, Sprott Asset Management, joins BNN Bloomberg to weigh in on the potential Barrick-Newmont merger, which he views as a "merger of equals" between the Canadian and U.S. mining majors. 

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2019 Top 10 List

Given the seminal nature of catalysts now in play for precious metals, we felt the timing appropriate for a comprehensive review of factors driving the gold price. In this report, we have compiled our Top 10 List of fundamentals supporting a portfolio allocation to gold in 2019

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Gold's Time to Shine

Get our positive outlook on gold and gold equities. Watch/listen to this webcast replay featuring Ed Coyne, EVP at Sprott Asset Management and special guest John Hathaway, Senior Portfolio Manager at Tocqueville Asset Management.

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Cryptocurrencies Fail to Prove their Mettle

The reports of gold’s death at the hands of cryptocurrencies seems to have been greatly exaggerated. We’ve warned investors about the instability of the cryptocurrency market and the false equivalency with gold over the past two years. New data validates our concerns.

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More Gold Sector M&A on the Horizon

Shree Kargutkar, Portfolio Manager, Sprott Asset Management, joins BNN Bloomberg to talk about increased M&A activity in the gold sector, and weighs in on the Barrick-Randgold and Newmont-Goldcorp deals.

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Gold Poised to Shine in 2019

Financial Journalist Liz Claman interviews Ed Coyne, EVP National Sales, on his 2019 outlook for gold bullion and gold equities. 

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Next Stop on the Jay Powell Apology Tour

Trend Macro’s Don Luskin anticipates no Fed rate increase on Wednesday, 1/30/19, and explains that a WSJ report, suspected of being "planted," sets up Fed Chair Powell to sound both dovish and smart about the Fed's balance sheet — a way to redeem himself from the humiliating the December FOMC. 

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Catalyst for Gold Locked and Loaded?

We believe that gold bullion and gold mining equities may be poised for a multi-year uptrend. Gold bullion beat U.S. equities for the month of December, the fourth quarter, and the full calendar year of 2018. We suggested throughout 2018 that the catalyst for gold’s next important rally would be growing recognition that the Fed’s current tightening cycle was reaching a conclusion.

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The Palladium Play - Part 2

Palladium has been a standout performer, more than doubling in price in three years 2016 to 2018. YTD the white-hot metal is up more than 10% as of January 16, 2019. Palladium’s rise is best understood by analyzing its unique supply-demand dynamics. Russia and South Africa account for nearly 80% of the world's production, and a chronic supply deficit keeps pushing prices higher. 

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The Palladium Play - Part 1

Palladium is a key component for ICE autocatalysts. While the escalating U.S.-China trade war hurt many commodities in 2018, palladium continued to rise. Spot palladium gained 18.6% in 2018 and has climbed 124% since the beginning of 2016.

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Housing Crunch

During this holiday season, we reiterate our stance that the Federal Reserve’s dual policy agenda of simultaneous rate hikes and balance sheet reduction is crimping global dollar liquidity to the significant peril of reigning financial asset valuations....U.S. residential real estate has hit a brick wall, and in our experience, no economic sector is more reliably predictive of growth trends than housing. 

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On the Margin: Well, We Said "Brace Yourself"

Luskin: "The media is falsely characterizing the Trump/Xi trade negotiation breakthrough as a mere 'truce' or 'ceasefire,' indeed claiming that there isn't even any actual agreement arising from the Buenos Aires summit. This is no 'ceasefire,' as no existing U.S. tariffs are being withdrawn. And there is an agreement — both sides officially say so." 

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Everything is Cool

We have maintained that financial asset prices cannot sustain rising rates with this much debt in the global financial system. We have presented our case that Fed rate hikes are already causing financial stress in peripheral markets, and now this stress is washing ashore in the form of cardiac arrest at long-troubled American icons such as GE and Sears.... To us, it seems pretty clear there are growing rumblings for at least a pause in rate hikes. Gold is likely to erupt if this transpires.

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On the Margin: In the Beginning was the Word “Framework”

Luskin opines that we may be nearing “deal” on the U.S./China trade war. “We’ve been telling clients to look for the word ‘framework’ to emerge in Trump administration rhetoric ahead of the month-end meeting between US President Donald J. Trump and China President Xi Jinping."

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Real Assets Masterclass

Ed Coyne, EVP National Sales, joins a panel of real assets experts to discuss whether it’s time to hunt for investments largely unconnected to financial markets, given the Dow Jones Industrial Average's flirtation with new highs in 2018.

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The Platinum Opportunity - Part 2

Platinum is one of the rarest of metals but often flies under the radar. In Part 2, we look at platinum supply-demand dynamics and explain why we believe that Platinum is too cheap to ignore

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Brinkmanship

During the next few months, we expect asset markets to come to terms with grossly misplaced investor faith in the sustainability of the Fed’s dual policy agenda of simultaneous rate hikes and balance sheet reduction — which amounts to little more than glorified brinkmanship. Recent market weakness supports our contention that Fed tightening is pinching global liquidity to a degree which threatens reigning valuations of traditional financial assets. Got gold? 

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One Sell-Off, So Many Causes

Luskin provides a timely analysis of the recent market sell-off. Mid-term elections, the Fed, FANG stocks and a potential trade war with China are all playing a part in October’s market correction.  Several of these – especially China – are real and persistent issues. He writes, “Altogether, we’re regarding this as only a correction, not the onset of a new bear market.”

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Physical Matters

We believe gold sentiment may be turning in our favor. For the first time in 17 years commercial participants in gold futures — generally regarded as the “smart money” — have flipped their COMEX positioning to net long.  Reik: "As we await rebirth of western investment demand in gold markets, we suspect an imminent clash between hyper-bearish COMEX spec positioning and staunch global physical demand is about to ignite some short-term pyrotechnics. This should be interesting to watch!”

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The Platinum Opportunity - Part 1

Platinum is one of the rarest of metals but often flies under the radar. In Part 1, we provide a Platinum Primer and explain why we are bullish on this essential metal, which plays a critical role in the automotive, industrial and jewelry sectors. 

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Buying Opportunity as Gold and Silver Shorts Reach Record Levels

As investors flee the emerging markets and seek the safety of the U.S. dollar and U.S. equities, they've increased their short positions in commodities. Most surprisingly, and counterintuitively, bets against precious metals (gold, silver and platinum) have reached record levels.

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Summer Test

This summer has been a frustrating stretch for gold bugs. Trey Reik writes: “As the scale of emerging markets dislocation expands on a weekly basis, the stored force in collapsing EM currencies is still funneling towards a strengthening U.S. dollar, and in turn reflexively pressuring the gold price.” In the face of this bearish sentiment, we have been encouraging Sprott clients to exploit summer price movements in precious metals to their maximum advantage. 

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Gold Slumps on Trade War Fears

Portfolio Manager Shree Kargutkar believes that "gold may prove to be the ultimate winner given the most recent trade conflicts." Despite the U.S. dollar's recent strength, Kargutkar argues that it is likely to be short-lived and that all the elements are in place for a durable bull market for precious metals and precious metal equities.

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Tariff Tension

Senior Portfolio Manager Trey Reik answers the question: Why isn’t gold doing better? After trading in a bullish consolidation pattern for 18 months, gold appears to have lost some of its mojo. Trump’s June 1 tariff announcements and the U.S. dollar's spring rally have hurt gold and other commodities. Reik counters by arguing that gold’s price stability has been fairly unique among asset classes, and that right now is a fortuitous entry point for portfolio allocations to gold.

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Periphery to Core

In this report, we employ the analytical framework of periphery to core.  We have organized this letter around evidence that the Fed’s dual policy goals are straining financial conditions in peripheral components of four critical sectors:  emerging markets, global financial institutions, U.S. corporate credits and U.S. consumer credits. 

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Silver's Critical Role in Electrification May Fuel its Rise

Senior Portfolio Manager Maria Smirnova champions Sprott's bullish view on silver. Despite silver’s recent tepid performance, fundamentals remain very compelling, and the supply/demand outlook has never been more supportive of a strong price. Silver is enjoying an uptick in industrial demand being driven in part by the high-tech auto industry, given a global move toward electrification and automation powered by solar technology.

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In Gold We Trust Report 2018: Gold and the Turning of the Monetary Tides

Sprott is pleased to be a major sponsor of the Incrementum's 12th edition of the annual In Gold we Trust report, which discusses three fundamental turning points affecting the global monetary system. Report authors Ronald Peter Stoeferle and Mark Valek refer to these as “Monetary Turns of the Tide”, and write that “Gold will definitely contribute to staking out a comfort zone in the turmoil of the tidal changes that we have discussed.”

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Whitney George on Berkshire Hathaway's 2018 AGM

The 2018 Annual Meeting comes at a time of high volatility for elevated equity markets and ahead of expected interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Sprott Media’s Albert Lu spoke with Sprott USA’s Chairman, Whitney George, about Buffett’s responses to some of the tough questions and the inevitable fundamental shifts on the horizon.

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Gold Shows Up at the Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Meeting

Senior Portfolio Manager Trey Reik responds to Warren Buffett’s distaste for gold, staunchly reconfirmed by Buffett at the May 5 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Meeting. Reik finds Buffett's gold-versus-stocks comparison self impeaching, and suggests that a prudent allocation to gold could improve the risk-adjusted returns even for Berkshire Hathaway.

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Gold is Rarely this Cheap

Sprott Global Investment Executive Kenton Ralph Toews looks more closely at how commodities, relative to equities, are at their most undervalued in decades. Gold is especially inexpensive relative to the S&P 500. 

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“QT” or Not to “T"? That is the Question

Senior Portfolio Manager Trey Reik cautions us on the dramatic increase in the Libor-OIS spread. He sees a black swan now unfurling in U.S. financial markets: the Fed is on the verge of major policy error by underestimating the blunt force of the monetary brakes it is applying via rate hikes and QT, Quantitative Tightening.

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Cryptocurrencies, Solid Gold or Just a Flash in the Pan?

Sprott Asset Management CEO John Ciampaglia examines the relative merits of gold and cryptocurrencies as these two alternatives to traditional fiat currencies duke it out in the “monetary” boxing ring of investor sentiment.

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Alternative Investing with Gold and Silver

Ed Coyne, EVP National Sales, and Trey Reik, Portfolio Manager, discuss the importance of a precious metals allocation of gold and silver, and how it can potentially improve risk-adjusted returns.

 

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Gold Resilient Despite Market Volatility

The calm of equity markets across the world was rudely interrupted in February by a sudden spike in volatility which impacted virtually every asset class. Volatility across equities, bonds, currencies and commodities rose sharply. Gold bullion declined a modest 2.08% during February, and its relative lack of volatility merits notice.

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Oopsie Daisy! Equity Markets Stumble in Early February

Senior Portfolio Manager Trey Reik looks beyond the short-term damage of the Feb. 5 market selloff, and explores why the current fed tightening cycle is likely to increase the stress on individual consumers and inflict damage across a broad spectrum of financial assets.

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Enhancing Portfolio Diversification with Gold and Silver

Ed Coyne, Executive Vice President at Sprott Asset Management discusses how an allocation to gold and silver can complement equities in an investment portfolio, and why Sprott advocates a 5% to10% allocation for most investors. Coyne also introduces the Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust (CEF), which represents the successful takeover of Central Fund of Canada.

 

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Why Gold and Gold Equities Can Thrive in 2018

With the beginning of the new year, we have entered a seasonally strong period for gold bullion and gold equities. Gold bullion posted a strong gain of 3.23% in January, ending the month at $1,345.15 per ounce. Even so, investor sentiment towards gold and gold equities continues to remain relatively muted.

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Sprott Focus Trust 2017 Annual Letter to Shareholders

Portfolio Manager Whitney George reviews his approach to value investing: “We just try to identify great businesses and buy them when they go on sale. Given the current backdrop, we expect our disciplined approach to be rewarded with attractive opportunities for investment throughout 2018.”

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2017 Redux

Gold bullion rose a respectable 13.09% in 2017, posting its strongest annual gain since 2010. Senior Portfolio Manager Trey Reik explores why gold's performance stacks up well against other alternative asset classes.

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